Expectations on People's Bank of China policy from UBS:
- UBS expects a cut to the RRR this year
- But not until later in the year, for the immediate future the People's Bank of China will use other liquidity tools instead to keep an accommodative credit and liquidity environment
- Don't expect an interest rate cut
- The bank is unlikely to opermit the USD/CNY to go higher than 6.8 by the end of the year
- Do expect depreciation pressures to rise as fed rate hike expectations increase
- Expect economic growth to pick up from a renewed pick up in infrastructure investment and public spending