Reserve Bank of Australia minutes from the September monetary policy board meeting

  • Economic drag from falling mining investment looked to have peaked in 2015/16
  • Judged current stance of policy consistent with growth, inflation targets
  • Steady decision took into account rate cuts in May and August, recent data
  • Estimated around half of the August rate cut had been passed on to bank customers
  • Repeats rising AUD would complicate economic rebalancing
  • Decline in AUD since 2013 continued to support traded sector of economy
  • Data suggest economy growing in line with potential
  • Forward indicators consistent with little change in unemployment rate in coming months
  • Cost pressures, wage growth set to remain low for some time
  • Conditions in established housing market had generally eased, house price growth moderated
  • High home building approvals pointed to significant amount of work in pipeline

Quick headlines via Reuters

Full text: Minutes of the September 2016 Monetary Policy Meeting of the Reserve Bank Board

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Check out that "Data suggest economy growing in line with potential". That, to me, sounds far too sanguine.

Still, the indications from the RBA here is a neutral stance on policy. The (relatively) more upbeat outlook should ensure they are on hold for some time to come barring surprise developments. Dare I say it ... data dependent ...