No change in cash rate, left at 1.5%, as unanimously expected

Headlines from the statement from Governor Lowe accompanying the decision :

  • Rising Australian dollar could complicate economic transition
  • Global economic conditions have improved over recent months
  • Unchanged policy consistent with growth, inflation targets
  • Says labour indicators have been mixed
  • Higher commodity prices have supported a rise in Australia's national income
  • Headline inflation expected to pick up over the course of 2017
  • House prices rising briskly in some markets
  • Says US rates expected to rise further, no longer expectations of further easing in other major economies
  • Australian economy continuing to transition after mining boom
  • Says medium-term risks to China growth remain

Full text of the Statement is here:

Statement by Philip Lowe, Governor: Monetary Policy Decision

--

No surprises in there.

  • "House prices rising briskly in some markets" - this reiterating the risks already stated - to financial stability and also to household spending
  • "labour indicators have been mixed" - low wage growth and how this is impacting on spending is a key RBA concern

Other points - Aussie economy doing all right, expectations of further global easing has pretty much disappeared, Aussie inflation expected to gradually tick higher, and the usual nod to China risks. Like I said ... nothing to surprise in these comments.

Key take away for today is that rates are on hold for a good while (again, not surprising)

--

PS. If you are wondering why the AUD spiked up and then came right back down again (to be net barely changed), think market dynamics (of desks holding a few stop loss orders on top there).