From the New Zealand Treasury's Monthly Economic Indicators for November 2015

  • The near-term growth outlook for the New Zealand economy has stabilised
  • Although weaker than expected in the Budget Update
  • The Treasury expects GDP growth of around 0.6% per quarter in the second half of 2015
  • Driven by private consumption, residential investment and tourism
  • New Zealand dollar depreciation is starting to contribute to higher price increases
  • The US is expected to raise its policy rate in December 2015 while other major economies are expected to remain on hold or to ease further

More:

  • Key economic data released over November continued to point to a pick-up in GDP growth over the second half of 2015 to around 0.6% per quarter from weak outturns in the first half of the year

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A perspective on the NZ economy from the NZ Treasury.

We've got the RBNZ decision due on Thursday (local time). Expectations from the OIS market show an implied probability of 52% for a 25bp cut in the Official Cash Rate (OCR)