Forex news and economic headlines 29 March 2016

News:

  • US Fed's Williams repeats that he expects to see rates rising gradually
  • Williams: There are some upside risks that we may hit our inflation target sooner
  • Fed has studied negative rates carefully says Williams
  • Japan's Abe says next year's budget will help ensure strong economy
  • Abe will raise sales tax as planned
  • Japan's Asakawa says it's not the yen level that matters, it's the volatility
  • Japan passes FY2016 budget while sales tax hike is still in the balance
  • BOE says UK financial stability outlook has worsened since November 2015
  • Central banks have done most of what they could do says OECD
  • Option expiries 10am NY cut today 29 March
  • More option expiries of note coming up this week
  • Nikkei 225 closes down -0.18% at 17,103.53

Data:

  • Japan small business confidence March 48.8 vs 49.00 exp
  • Eurozone M3 money supply Feb yy +5.0% as expected
  • Italy business confidence index March 102.2 vs 102.4 exp

It's been a steady start to the shortened week as markets wait on Janet Yellen's speech scheduled for 16.20 GMT. Many traders will be on holidays still but the algo boxes haven't packed up and jetted off to sunnier climes.

USDJPY got a leg up to 113.74 in late Asia as the Nikkei pared some losses with talk of further easing measures. The pairs ran into good offers at 113.80 and has edged back lower but still finding demand around 113.50. Yen pairs too are generally firmer.

GBPUSD had an early look at 1.4200 as traders sold into yesterday's thin-liquidity rally but good demand down there saw a bounce back to 1.4275. Then a BOE FPC comment that Brexit would cause further GBP weakness saw it slip back to 1.4246 only to run into fresh buyers with EURGBP selling noted too. That pair has been down 0.7837 from 0.7873 before bouncing then falling once more but finding support as GBPUSD runs into offers ahead of 1.4300.

EURUSD has had a steady session after an early wobble to 1.1170 only to recover its poise and post session highs of 1.1212 as I type.

USDCHF and EURCHF have both found dip-demand into 0.9730 and 1.0885 respectively with the latter staging a good recovery to 1.0921 while USDCAD had an early move higher to 1.3215 on softer oil but has come under some general USD pressure to fall back through 1.3180 to post 1.3167.

AUDUSD and NZDUSD both had early wobbles but have also found a bit of support from the USD selling.

Little of data wise today with focus firmly on Yellen.