BOE chief economist and MPC member Andy Haldane with a prepared speech 15 July 2016

  • mon pol is part of the collective response to protect economy
  • will decide size and extent of stimulus in August
  • easing needs to be deliver promptly, muscularly
  • overall need to do more to cushion negative shocks

Interestingly the speech was from 30 June in Port Talbot, Welsh steel country, and just been released post-MPC meeting. Title: "Whose recovery?"

Down goes the pound again. GBPUSD 1.3370 EURGBP 0.8330

Got to be loving the two-way. Goes down quicker than it goes up though...

Haldane called for rate cuts a long time before the MPC caught up with the reality.

Very tellingly Haldane highlights the disparity in the UK:

"On subsequent regional visits, including this one in Wales, talking to companies, community groups and charities, I have encountered the same conundrum. For many, the economic recovery is visible and tangible - in sales, in jobs, in investment. But for others it is barely visible and for some non-existent. How to reconcile the macro data with these micro accounts? Were these stories outliers? Or was I neglecting an important missing ingredient in the UK's economic fortunes?

Put differently,whose recovery were we actually talking about?"

Full text here. It's long but well worth a read for those who don't live in the UK and even for some of those who do and sit in ivory towers fully cushioned with rose-tinted glasses.

BOE's Haldane - Time to get the cutting tools out