BOJ's Kuroda speaking to parliament again today

  • QQE with negative interest rates exerting intended effects on economy
  • Unavoidable for monetary easing steps to affect banks' earnings
  • Declines in bank stocks, expansion of credit spread due to investors' risk aversion, happening in other countries too
  • Technically possible to push interest rates further into negative territory
  • Can't say now by how much BOJ can push rates deeper into negative territory as depends on impact on banks' earnings, cost of holding cash
  • Now is time to scrutinise policy effect of latest decision to adopt 0.1 pct negative rate

Earlier on we got inflation data from Japan, showing little progress really.

USD/JPY is higher since then.

Which makes for a nice narrative .. 'Yen weaker as BOJ needs to do more on inflation'. that'll be the explanation you'll be hearing later. its B/S but it has a nice logic to it at least.