Trends for the US employment report

Tomorrow at 8:30 AM ET, the US employment report will be released. Below is a graphical look at some of the components and trends for the report.

  • The expectation is for 225K for NFP. This is lower than the 260K average gain seen in 2014.
  • Wages will once again be of interest to the market. Last month wages rose by 0.1% and 2.2% YoY. The expectations are for a rise of 0.2% and 2.2% respectively.
  • Jobless claims were fairly steady over the last month
  • ISM employment components showed Manufacturing was up but service was down but still growing
  • 2 month revisions have been negative for the last 3 releases.
  • ADP came in at 201K. It has become more unpredictable of late
  • The unemployment rate has moved down to 5.4% and is expected to remain unchanged. The underemployment rate is currently at 10.8%.

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