Latest monthly bulletin now out from the International Energy Agency 11 Aug

  • forecast reduced on dimmer economic outlook following Brexit vote

Ah, the old Brexit chestnut again.

  • raises 2017 non-OPEC oil output growth forecast by 200k bpd to 300m bpd
  • our balances show essentially no oversupply during H2 2016. Hefty draw from stocks in Q3
  • stock draw will increase refiners' appetite for oil asnd help pave the way to a sustained tightening of crude balance

I detect IEA fingers firmly crossed behind their back on this report.

Full bulletin here