San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams spoke in Arizona over the weekend. Probably to Greg, but I'll have to check that.

Asked about a his view on a December rate hike, he said he expects "a lot of data" between now and then & "I am going to wait and see"

More:

  • "I do think it makes sense to gradually remove the policy of accommodation that helped get the economy to where we are"
  • Says he believes the factors holding inflation low (eg. oil prices, strong dollar) should soon ebb and allow inflation to bounce
  • Says starting rate hikes sooner than later would allow a "smoother, more gradual process of policy normalization"

Reuters and Bloomberg both have more, and both ungated.

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"Wait and see" makes sense. If someone in China breaks wind between now and December that'll likely be enough to send the Fed ducking for cover and postponing a hike.