Bloomberg has been around the banks collecting their views on Brexit
- Barclays - Baseline scenrario is that the UK stays
- Morgan Stanley - Expects a slow pick up in inflation leading to rate hikes in early 2017
- BofAML - Expect a renewed period of pound weakness heading in to the vote
- SocGen - Has Brexit risk at 45%. Cable could drop below 1.30, EURUSD could drop below parity
- JPM - Vote to leave would bring a further 10% frop in the pound
- Nomura - Sees a near 25% chance of an exit, MPC to cut rates on signs economy is deteriorating
- Credit Suisse - Expects a vote to stay
- RBC - Pound could fall 10-15% on Brexit
- DB - Baseline view that the UK stays. Pound may bounce on a vote to remain but downside risks to the economy suggest selling it
- HSBC - Can't rule out the BOE cutting rates on an exit vote
- UBS - Leave vote may bring confrontational negotiations
- Goldies - Don't play Brexit via EURGBP. Expect 15% jump in the pound over 12 months on a vote to stay
That's just the highlights and the Bloomberg story has the full details, which is well worth a read if you want to get a feel for what the banks are thinking.