The analysts reactions to today's Q3 CPI and the implications for Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy continue

Earlier:

  • Goldman Sachs are still expecting an RBA rate cut next week
  • NAB's outlook for the RBA after today's weak CPI: On hold
  • HSBC changes view on RBA - expect a cut next week
  • Australia - ANZ interest rate strategists: Weak CPI "a game changer"
  • Australia Q3 CPI comes in lower than expected - responses
  • Australia Q3 CPI: +0.5% q/q (0.7% expected)

And now from Westpac Chief Economis Bill Evans ... in brief:

  • We expect the board will decide to keep rates on hold
  • The surprise drop in the inflation measure is not unique and, in the past, the Bank has looked through a one off number
  • The motivation for cutting next week would be a significant downward revision to the growth outlook
  • The data flow and the RBA's recent commentary does not point to such an event