Moody's poll at offshore credit briefings in London, Paris and New York in October

130 respondents to the poll

  • Expect GDP growth to slow to 6.5% or lower in 2016
  • Say asset quality deterioration in industries showing overcapacity is a concern for Chinese banks
  • Believe Chinese authorities possess the tools to avert a banking crisis, or that a crisis would take much longer than 12-18 months to materialize

More:

  • Expect corporate leverage will continue to rise next year
  • Say rising corporate distress and increased policy uncertainty as the greatest risks to growth for China in 2016