From a Goldman sachs research note:

  • "We continue to expect the EUR to weaken vs the USD over the coming quarters, due to both US cyclical strength and continued QE-driven portfolio rebalancing outflows from the Euro area."
  • "As the Fed continues to dismantle forward guidance, the ECB has moved in the opposite direction"

March 27 dated note

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Earlier I had the GS view from an Elliot Wave perspective