Latest report from the US ratings agency

  • key issue to watch for HK banks in 2016 is their China-related credit quality
  • maintains stable sector and rating outlooks for HK banks notwithstanding their links to mainland China
  • China-related NPL ratio will likely rise to about 1.5-2% by end-2016
  • commercial real estate lending as relatively more risky as part of it is China-related

All roads and risks lead to/from China.