Cuttng to the chase ... nothin'! No change expected to any rates

  • Refinancing rate expected to remain unchanged at 0%
  • Marginal lending rate expected to remain unchanged at 0.25%
  • Deposit Facility rate expected to remain unchanged at -0.4%

OK ... the fine print (this via Reuters, more there if you are after it), In brief:

  • Euro zone growth and inflation slowly picking up pace
  • ECB to say that its extra-easy policy stance is still needed to keep the recovery on course
  • Set to maintain a promise for lengthy stimulus, having extended its bond-buying program just last month ... Draghi will note the recovery is not self-sustaining, underlying inflation is weak and political risk from key elections weighs on the outlook ... So turning down the ECB taps now is inappropriate, he is expected to say

More:

  • Inflation hit a three year high last month ... but still just half of the bank's 2 percent target and the jump is mostly down to higher oil prices while underlying price growth remains dangerously weak
  • Manufacturing activity is accelerating
  • Confidence indicators are firming, all pointing to solid growth at the end of last year
  • Euro zone business growth was the fastest in more than five years in December
  • Order books are surging on export demand
  • Consumption is holding up

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The European Central Bank announcement is due at 1245GMT

President Draghi's press conference will follow, due at 1330GMT