Latest Buba monthly report

  • Expects a sharp slowdown in the German economy in Q2 before rebounding in the second half of the year

  • Volatile 1st half disguises robust fundamentals

  • ECB must normalise as soon as inflation is on track

  • Undesired effects of QE increase with its duration

  • Fiscal policy and financial stability mustn't slow normalisation

If inflation gets to 1.5% the Germans will come out all guns blazing about tightening monetary policy.