Shirai at a meeting with business leaders

  • Expects Japan CPI to approach 2 pct at end of fiscal 2016, then move slightly below 2 pct in fiscal 2017
  • Expects Japan CPI to move around 1 pct in fiscal 2016 on average, slightly lower than BOJ's median forecast
  • Natural to modify timing for hitting price target in response to changes in external factors
  • BOJ must focus on sustainably hitting 2 pct inflation while setting loose timeframe for hitting its price goal
  • See risks tilted more toward downside for Japan's economy in fiscal 2017 due to effect of expected sales tax hike
  • See risks tilted more toward downside on price outlook

  • If gap between actual inflation and boj's price goal persists, it may make it tougher to heighten inflation expectations

  • Appropriate to maintain current scale of asset purchases for time being if prices move as I expect

  • There is room to consider further policy action if price trend weakens sharply, but see chance of this happening as slim for now

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Also ... stay tuned ... she has a press conference to follow at 0600GMT