Will they or won't they? Deutsche Bank and RBC weigh in with their thoughts

Deutsche Bank is out with their thoughts on the Fed. They say:

  • The issue for the Fed is whether policymakers will go against the markets expectations of no change in policy
  • "we are moving towards the markets view"

They add:

  • "While we have not made any change to our September rate forecast (25 bp increase), this projection is under review"

Meanwhile at RBC, they say:

  • the employment report strengthens the narrative of rapidly declining labor market slack and firming wage trends.
  • If the equity markets calm down between now and the September meeting, and the diminished labor slack/rising risks of wage pressures become more of the topic du jour, we see no reason the fed would take a pass on raising rates

They add that it is becoming more difficult to promote easy monetary policy