Private New Capital Expenditure and Expected Expenditure from Australia's Bureau of Statistics

What you see there in the headline is the, well, headline result

-

via Reuters:

Australia Q4 new capital expenditure +0. 8 % q/q s/adj

  • expected -3.0%, prior is -8.4%, revised from -9.2%

--

First estimate of 2016/17 capex AUD82.6 bln

  • this is toward the low end of estimates, and down around A$40bn from this current year. This is estimating capex at its lowest level in 9 years

This is the recent history of capex according to the survey, and the far right is today's first estimate for next year. I've drawn in the ugly red arrows. I haven't been very popular with the doomers lately, so this ugly arrows might redeem me a little :-D

--

Latest estimate of 2015/16 capex AUD$124.0 bln

See the graph above, the final column in 2015-16 is this latest estimate, estimate number 5 for this fiscal year.

-

Q4 plant/machinery capex +0.1 pct q/q, s/adj

Q4 building, structures capex +1.2 pct q/q, s/adj

-

The first estimate for non-mining capex for 2016/17 is in at 48bn ... which is weak

more to come

-

For more background on this data, my preview is here